Base rate of interest expected to rise soon

Base rate of interest expected to rise soon

In this speed read, we take a look at the potential for an interest rate rise in the coming months

  • The base rate of interest is set to rise in the 'coming months' as the Bank of England acts to control the UK economy.
  • The Bank voted to keep the base rate at its historic low of 0.1% in November, but with inflation 3.1% and predicted to rise to as much as 5% in the first half of 2022, a rise is likely.
  • Any rise will impact mortgage borrowing costs, although with an estimated 80% of borrowers on fixed rate deals, no significant adjustment to the housing market is anticipated in the short term.
  • Compared to the Global Financial Crisis in 2008/09, when the base rate was often in excess of 5%, the rate by the end of 2022 is expected to be a maximum of 1%.
  • Raising the base rate encourages people to save, not spend,. This should slow the increase in prices of household goods.
  • Source: Dataloft, Bank of England


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The latest 0.25% interest rate cut may look modest on paper, saving the average variable mortgage holder around £31 a month, but its real influence runs deeper. Property markets are powered by confidence, and with mortgage rates easing and lenders competing again, sentiment is shifting. That change in mood is starting to matter.