UK Property Market Weekly Update for the ending Sunday, 17th November 2024, (week 46)
Welcome to this week’s overview of the UK property market. In Week 46, we explore the latest trends in house prices, market activity, and key developments shaping the property selling sector. This update provides insights into buyer and seller behavior, regional performance, and potential implications for the weeks ahead.
Here are the all important stats...
· Listings (New properties coming on to the market) - 29k UK listings this week (week 46). YTD 2024, listings are 8% higher compared to 2023 YTD.
· % of Resi Sales Stock being reduced (Monthly): 13% of Resi sales stock was reduced in the last month. 14% last month and long term 5 year average 10.6%.
· Total Gross Sales - 24.2k UK homes sold stc this week (Week 46), slightly more than last week. 19.2% higher than the same standalone week (week 46) in 2023. Also, 8.5% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels & 14.9% higher than 2023 YTD levels.
· Sale Thru rate (Monthly): UK Estate Agents sold 16.11% of their Resi sales stock in Oct ’24. Sept ‘ 24 was 14.79%. 2024 average is 15.86% & the 7 year long term average is 17.9% per month - yet don’t forget that was only in mid/late 20%’s in the crazy years of 20/21/22).
· Sale fall-throughs - For the week 46, Sale Fall Thrus (as a % of Gross sales Agreed) dropped significantly to 25% (down from 28.8% last week). The 7 year Long Term weekly Average is 24.2% and it was 40%+ in the two months following the Truss Budget in the Autumn of 2022. Agents lost 5.8% of their sales pipeline in Oct’24 (up from 5.6% in Sept ‘ 24).
· Net Sales - 18.1k this week (17k last week). 18.2% higher than the same week 46 in 2023, 76% higher than the same week 46 in 2022 & still 17.3% higher YTD in 2024 compared to YTD 2023.
· % of Homes exchanging vs homes unsold - Of the 1,358,587 UK homes that left UK Estate Agents books since the 1st Jan 2024, 728,138 of them (53.6%) exchanged & completed contracts (meaning the homeowner moved and the estate agent got paid). The remaining 630,449 (46.4%) were withdrawn off the market, unsold. In essence you a flip of the coin chance of actually selling, homeowners moving and the estate agent getting paid.
· UK House Prices - As explained in the show, the £/sqft figure foretells and predicts the Land Registry 5 months in advance with an accuracy rating of 92%. Final October figures saw a slight jump in this important metric to £346/sq.ft. For comparison - Sept’s £339/sq.ft, August’s £338/sq.ft, and July at £341/sq.ft. This means house prices are slightly growing.
· Resi Sales Stock on the Market (Monthly Stat) : 725k at end of October (up from 724k at end of Sept). For comparison, Oct ’23 - 664k, Oct ’22 - 523k, Oct ’21 - 425k, Oct ’20 - 681k, Oct ’19 - 652k
· Resi Sales Sold STC Pipeline (Units) (Monthly Stat): 505k at end of October. For comparison, Oct ’23 - 401k, Oct ’22 - 483k, Oct ’21 - 528k, Oct ’20 - 548k, Oct ’19 - 372k
Stats provided by Christopher 'Stato' Watkin