Interest rate forecast

Interest rate forecast

In this speed read we take a quick look at interest rates

  • The low interest rate environment the UK has experienced for over the past decade is set to remain, although rates are anticipated to rise.
  • The consensus forecast, based on the expectations of 18 different city and non-city analysts, expects interest rates will nudge slightly higher over the final quarter of 2021, ending at 0.12%.
  • The base rate of interest has been 1% or lower since February 2009 when rates were slashed in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. Rates may well rise back to 1% in 2024.
  • The cost of borrowing remaining low is positive news for the housing market and those with a mortgage. The current average mortgage rate is just 2.05%, a historic low (Bank of England).
  • Source: Dataloft, consensus forecasts, August 2021


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The Bank of England’s latest rate cut to 4%—its lowest in two years—offers a boost to buyer confidence and affordability. With UK home sales up 7.5% year-on-year, the move is expected to support stability in Attleborough’s housing market, though the pace of mortgage rate changes may remain gradual.